By Stephen Simon
President Bola Tinubu’s bid for a second term will be tested by Nigerians’ experience of rising living costs and persistent insecurity, even as divisions among opposition parties could strengthen his electoral prospects.
Tinubu formally launched his re-election campaign in Kaduna on October 24, urging voters to return him to office in the January 16, 2027 presidential election.
At the rally, the president defended his administration’s economic reforms and promised growth, recovery and prosperity. He also blamed previous administrations and opposition politicians for the country’s economic difficulties.
Since taking office in 2023, Tinubu has removed the petrol subsidy and introduced major changes to the foreign-exchange system. His government argues that the policies have improved public finances, foreign reserves and investor confidence.
However, the reforms have also contributed to significant pressure on household budgets, with high petrol prices, transportation costs and food expenses continuing to affect Nigerians.
Security will be another major campaign issue, particularly in areas affected by banditry, kidnappings and insurgency.
Tinubu faces major challengers, including former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and former Anambra State Governor Peter Obi. But the collapse of an earlier opposition alliance could make it more difficult for his challengers to consolidate their support behind a single candidate.
Since taking office in 2023, Tinubu has removed the petrol subsidy and introduced major changes to the foreign-exchange system. His government argues that the policies have improved public finances, foreign reserves and investor confidence.
However, the reforms have also contributed to significant pressure on household budgets, with high petrol prices, transportation costs and food expenses continuing to affect Nigerians.
Security will be another major campaign issue, particularly in areas affected by banditry, kidnappings and insurgency.
Tinubu faces major challengers, including former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and former Anambra State Governor Peter Obi. But the collapse of an earlier opposition alliance could make it more difficult for his challengers to consolidate their support behind a single candidate.
The president also enjoys considerable political influence through the ruling All Progressives Congress and its extensive network of elected officials.
Nevertheless, the campaign will test whether the administration can persuade voters that its reforms are producing benefits that outweigh the hardships they have endured.
